Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

15:30

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

42%

Waalwijk

2.40

28%

Draw

3.62

31%

Heerenveen

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

2.75

1.26

Heerenveen xG

42%
28%
31%
WaalwijkDrawHeerenveen

2.40

42%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

28%

Waalwijk

3.51

22%

Heerenveen

4.46

Win to Nil

12%

Waalwijk

8.43

7%

Heerenveen

14.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.5 12.0 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 9.0 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.495
λ Away (xG) 1.256
Total xG 2.751
League avg home goals 1.607
League avg away goals 1.335
Waalwijk attack strength 0.765
Waalwijk defence strength 1.172
Heerenveen attack strength 0.803
Heerenveen defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65