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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:30

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

50%

Utrecht

1.99

31%

Draw

3.26

19%

Telstar

5.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.43

0.88

Telstar xG

50%
31%
19%
UtrechtDrawTelstar

1.99

50%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

5.26

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

41%

Utrecht

2.42

21%

Telstar

4.68

Win to Nil

21%

Utrecht

4.81

4%

Telstar

24.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 7.8 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 13.6 12.0 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.4 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.544
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.428
League avg home goals 1.708
League avg away goals 1.296
Utrecht attack strength 0.851
Utrecht defence strength 0.770
Telstar attack strength 0.885
Telstar defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 29