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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

36%

Utrecht

2.76

29%

Draw

3.40

34%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.53

1.25

Sparta Rotterdam xG

36%
29%
34%
UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam

2.76

36%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

29%

Utrecht

3.47

28%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.61

Win to Nil

10%

Utrecht

9.59

10%

Sparta Rotterdam

10.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.9 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.283
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 2.528
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.342
Utrecht attack strength 1.062
Utrecht defence strength 0.915
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 1.014
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.754
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66