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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

13:30

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

73%

Utrecht

1.38

15%

Draw

6.68

12%

Groningen

8.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.84

Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.97

1.13

Groningen xG

73%
15%
12%
UtrechtDrawGroningen

1.38

73%

Home win

6.68

15%

Draw

8.05

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

37%

Over 4.5

2.70

63%

Under 4.5

1.59

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

32%

Utrecht

3.11

6%

Groningen

17.10

Win to Nil

23%

Utrecht

4.28

1%

Groningen

137.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
1 5.3 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
2 7.6 8.6 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.2 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 5.1 5.8 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 2.9 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.839
λ Away (xG) 1.134
Total xG 3.973
League avg home goals 1.704
League avg away goals 1.361
Utrecht attack strength 1.245
Utrecht defence strength 0.877
Groningen attack strength 0.950
Groningen defence strength 1.338
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38