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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Utrecht Win
81%
1.23
13%
7.82
6%
16.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.4%
Home win
2 – 1
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.98
Utrecht xG
Total xG
3.75
0.77
Excelsior xG
UtrechtDrawExcelsior
1.23
81%
Home win
7.82
13%
Draw
16.31
6%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.94
48%
BTTS No
2.06
Clean Sheet
46%
2.16
5%
19.73
Win to Nil
38%
2.67
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 10.4 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.982
λ Away (xG)
0.771
Total xG
3.753
League avg home goals
1.754
League avg away goals
1.339
Utrecht attack strength
1.176
Utrecht defence strength
0.821
Excelsior attack strength
0.702
Excelsior defence strength
1.445
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
36 / 2