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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Utrecht Win
36%
2.74
29%
3.44
34%
2.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.1%
Home win
0 – 1
10.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.22
Utrecht xG
Total xG
2.40
1.18
AZ Alkmaar xG
UtrechtDrawAZ Alkmaar
2.74
36%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
2.90
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.02
50%
BTTS No
1.98
Clean Sheet
31%
3.25
29%
3.40
Win to Nil
11%
8.92
10%
9.87
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 13.1 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.223
λ Away (xG)
1.180
Total xG
2.403
League avg home goals
1.658
League avg away goals
1.364
Utrecht attack strength
0.755
Utrecht defence strength
0.847
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.021
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.976
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
58 / 58