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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Thu 22 May 2025

20:00

Venue

De Grolsch Veste

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Twente Win

39%

Twente

2.59

30%

Draw

3.28

31%

NEC Nijmegen

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Twente xG

Total xG

2.68

1.26

NEC Nijmegen xG

39%
30%
31%
TwenteDrawNEC Nijmegen

2.59

39%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

28%

Twente

3.52

24%

NEC Nijmegen

4.16

Win to Nil

11%

Twente

9.12

7%

NEC Nijmegen

13.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.2 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.617
League avg away goals 1.304
Twente attack strength 1.158
Twente defence strength 1.080
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 0.894
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.761
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68