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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Twente Win
56%
1.77
23%
4.31
20%
4.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
2 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.78
Twente xG
Total xG
2.76
0.97
Excelsior xG
TwenteDrawExcelsior
1.77
56%
Home win
4.31
23%
Draw
4.89
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
38%
2.65
17%
5.95
Win to Nil
21%
4.70
3%
29.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.784
λ Away (xG)
0.975
Total xG
2.759
League avg home goals
1.657
League avg away goals
1.462
Twente attack strength
0.855
Twente defence strength
0.842
Excelsior attack strength
0.792
Excelsior defence strength
1.259
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 19