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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

13:30

Venue

BUKO Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

24%

Telstar

4.16

20%

Draw

5.09

56%

Ajax

1.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

1 – 3

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Telstar xG

Total xG

3.81

2.32

Ajax xG

24%
20%
56%
TelstarDrawAjax

4.16

24%

Home win

5.09

20%

Draw

1.77

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.31

Clean Sheet

10%

Telstar

10.21

23%

Ajax

4.41

Win to Nil

2%

Telstar

42.51

13%

Ajax

7.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 5.2 6.0 4.6 2.7 1.3
1 3.3 7.7 8.9 6.9 4.0 1.9
2 2.4 5.7 6.6 5.1 3.0 1.4
3 1.2 2.8 3.3 2.5 1.5 0.7
4 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3
5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.484
λ Away (xG) 2.323
Total xG 3.807
League avg home goals 1.649
League avg away goals 1.393
Telstar attack strength 0.899
Telstar defence strength 1.297
Ajax attack strength 1.286
Ajax defence strength 1.001
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51