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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

17:45

Venue

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

30%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.36

30%

Draw

3.33

40%

PSV Eindhoven

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.76

1.49

PSV Eindhoven xG

30%
30%
40%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven

3.36

30%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

22%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.45

28%

PSV Eindhoven

3.54

Win to Nil

7%

Sparta Rotterdam

14.94

11%

PSV Eindhoven

8.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.5 7.1 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 8.0 12.0 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.1 7.6 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.1 3.2 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.264
λ Away (xG) 1.493
Total xG 2.757
League avg home goals 1.729
League avg away goals 1.297
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.797
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.869
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.325
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63