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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

17:45

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

47%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.11

24%

Draw

4.16

29%

PEC Zwolle

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.93

1.25

PEC Zwolle xG

47%
24%
29%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle

2.11

47%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

29%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.50

19%

PEC Zwolle

5.35

Win to Nil

14%

Sparta Rotterdam

7.40

5%

PEC Zwolle

18.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.7 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 11.2 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.4 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.2 5.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.678
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.267
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.901
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.995
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.995
PEC Zwolle defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59