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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

13:30

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

43%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.35

30%

Draw

3.33

27%

NEC Nijmegen

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.19

0.94

NEC Nijmegen xG

43%
30%
27%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC Nijmegen

2.35

43%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

39%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.57

29%

NEC Nijmegen

3.47

Win to Nil

17%

Sparta Rotterdam

6.04

8%

NEC Nijmegen

12.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 10.6 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.0 13.2 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.2 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.243
λ Away (xG) 0.944
Total xG 2.187
League avg home goals 1.574
League avg away goals 1.344
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.874
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.957
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 0.734
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61