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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

17:45

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

58%

Sparta Rotterdam

1.73

24%

Draw

4.19

18%

Heerenveen

5.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.70

0.90

Heerenveen xG

58%
24%
18%
Sparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen

1.73

58%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

5.49

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

41%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.47

17%

Heerenveen

6.01

Win to Nil

23%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.26

3%

Heerenveen

32.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.1 10.9 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.696
League avg home goals 1.572
League avg away goals 1.332
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.927
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.886
Heerenveen attack strength 0.764
Heerenveen defence strength 1.230
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62