Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

38%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.62

32%

Draw

3.10

30%

Excelsior

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.80

1.31

Excelsior xG

38%
32%
30%
Sparta RotterdamDrawExcelsior

2.62

38%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

27%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.70

22%

Excelsior

4.46

Win to Nil

10%

Sparta Rotterdam

9.72

7%

Excelsior

15.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.1 11.8 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.9 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 4.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.496
λ Away (xG) 1.309
Total xG 2.805
League avg home goals 1.714
League avg away goals 1.289
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.815
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.992
Excelsior attack strength 1.024
Excelsior defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33