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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

13:30

Venue

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

23%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.37

22%

Draw

4.53

55%

AZ Alkmaar

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

3.11

1.93

AZ Alkmaar xG

23%
22%
55%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar

4.37

23%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

14%

Sparta Rotterdam

6.91

31%

AZ Alkmaar

3.23

Win to Nil

3%

Sparta Rotterdam

30.19

17%

AZ Alkmaar

5.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 8.6 8.4 5.4 2.6 1.0
1 5.3 10.2 9.8 6.3 3.1 1.2
2 3.1 6.0 5.8 3.7 1.8 0.7
3 1.2 2.3 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.3
4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.174
λ Away (xG) 1.933
Total xG 3.107
League avg home goals 1.793
League avg away goals 1.549
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.915
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 1.218
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.025
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.716
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44