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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
24%
4.14
21%
4.80
55%
1.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.4%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.9%
Draw
0 – 2
7.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.35
Sparta Rotterdam xG
Total xG
3.47
2.12
Ajax xG
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
4.14
24%
Home win
4.80
21%
Draw
1.82
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.88
Clean Sheet
12%
8.31
26%
3.87
Win to Nil
3%
34.40
14%
7.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 8.9 | 9.4 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.354
λ Away (xG)
2.118
Total xG
3.472
League avg home goals
1.702
League avg away goals
1.429
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength
0.869
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength
1.425
Ajax attack strength
1.040
Ajax defence strength
0.916
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41