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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
19%
5.16
21%
4.82
60%
1.67
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
0 – 2
9.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.10
Sparta Rotterdam xG
Total xG
3.17
2.08
Ajax xG
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
5.16
19%
Home win
4.82
21%
Draw
1.67
60%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.40
Clean Sheet
13%
7.97
33%
3.00
Win to Nil
2%
41.14
20%
5.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 4.6 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.097
λ Away (xG)
2.076
Total xG
3.173
League avg home goals
1.707
League avg away goals
1.270
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength
0.724
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength
1.278
Ajax attack strength
1.279
Ajax defence strength
0.888
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50