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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

50%

PSV Eindhoven

2.00

27%

Draw

3.72

23%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.09

1.24

Sparta Rotterdam xG

50%
27%
23%
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam

2.00

50%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

29%

PSV Eindhoven

3.44

16%

Sparta Rotterdam

6.41

Win to Nil

15%

PSV Eindhoven

6.89

4%

Sparta Rotterdam

27.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.6 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.4 10.4 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.8 6.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.858
λ Away (xG) 1.235
Total xG 3.093
League avg home goals 1.700
League avg away goals 1.247
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.288
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.963
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 1.029
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.849
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34