Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

76%

PSV Eindhoven

1.31

14%

Draw

7.30

10%

PEC Zwolle

9.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Most likely

4 – 1

6.5%

Home win

2 – 1

6.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.61

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

5.05

1.45

PEC Zwolle xG

76%
14%
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle

1.31

76%

Home win

7.30

14%

Draw

9.93

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

96%

Over 1.5

1.04

4%

Under 1.5

25.00

88%

Over 2.5

1.14

12%

Under 2.5

8.33

74%

Over 3.5

1.35

26%

Under 3.5

3.85

57%

Over 4.5

1.75

43%

Under 4.5

2.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.33

25%

BTTS No

4.05

Clean Sheet

24%

PSV Eindhoven

4.25

3%

PEC Zwolle

36.89

Win to Nil

18%

PSV Eindhoven

5.58

0%

PEC Zwolle

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
1 2.3 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
2 4.2 6.0 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 5.0 7.2 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
4 4.5 6.5 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 3.2 4.7 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.608
λ Away (xG) 1.447
Total xG 5.055
League avg home goals 1.691
League avg away goals 1.283
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.505
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 1.208
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.934
PEC Zwolle defence strength 1.418
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64