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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

17:45

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

52%

PSV Eindhoven

1.91

21%

Draw

4.88

27%

NEC Nijmegen

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

1 – 1

6.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.44

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.20

1.76

NEC Nijmegen xG

52%
21%
27%
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC Nijmegen

1.91

52%

Home win

4.88

21%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.31

24%

BTTS No

4.21

Clean Sheet

17%

PSV Eindhoven

5.84

9%

NEC Nijmegen

11.44

Win to Nil

9%

PSV Eindhoven

11.17

2%

NEC Nijmegen

42.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.6 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 3.7 6.4 5.7 3.3 1.5 0.5
2 4.4 7.8 6.9 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 3.6 6.4 5.6 3.3 1.5 0.5
4 2.2 3.9 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
5 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.437
λ Away (xG) 1.764
Total xG 4.201
League avg home goals 1.640
League avg away goals 1.386
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.478
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.972
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.310
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60