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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

75%

PSV Eindhoven

1.33

14%

Draw

7.26

11%

Heracles

9.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

8.2%

Home win

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.99

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.09

1.10

Heracles xG

75%
14%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles

1.33

75%

Home win

7.26

14%

Draw

9.23

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

33%

PSV Eindhoven

3.01

5%

Heracles

19.83

Win to Nil

25%

PSV Eindhoven

3.99

1%

Heracles

183.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
1 5.0 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 7.5 8.2 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 7.5 8.2 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 5.6 6.1 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 3.3 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.987
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 4.088
League avg home goals 1.718
League avg away goals 1.411
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.397
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 1.003
Heracles attack strength 0.778
Heracles defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49