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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

77%

PSV Eindhoven

1.30

14%

Draw

7.38

9%

Heerenveen

10.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

8.2%

Home win

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.01

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.04

1.02

Heerenveen xG

77%
14%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen

1.30

77%

Home win

7.38

14%

Draw

10.60

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

36%

PSV Eindhoven

2.78

5%

Heerenveen

20.35

Win to Nil

28%

PSV Eindhoven

3.62

0%

Heerenveen

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 5.3 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.2
2 8.0 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 8.0 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 6.1 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 3.7 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.013
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 4.037
League avg home goals 1.678
League avg away goals 1.262
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.444
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.945
Heerenveen attack strength 0.858
Heerenveen defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58