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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

17:45

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

83%

PSV Eindhoven

1.20

11%

Draw

9.49

6%

Groningen

16.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

7.5%

Home win

4 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.60

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.64

1.04

Groningen xG

83%
11%
PSV EindhovenDrawGroningen

1.20

83%

Home win

9.49

11%

Draw

16.00

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

84%

Over 2.5

1.19

16%

Under 2.5

6.25

68%

Over 3.5

1.47

32%

Under 3.5

3.12

49%

Over 4.5

2.04

51%

Under 4.5

1.96

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

35%

PSV Eindhoven

2.83

3%

Groningen

36.45

Win to Nil

29%

PSV Eindhoven

3.40

0%

Groningen

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
1 3.5 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
2 6.3 6.5 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 7.5 7.8 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 6.8 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 4.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.596
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 4.636
League avg home goals 1.736
League avg away goals 1.287
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.622
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.916
Groningen attack strength 0.883
Groningen defence strength 1.277
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36