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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 31 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

61%

PSV Eindhoven

1.65

19%

Draw

5.19

20%

Fortuna Sittard

4.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.61

1.29

Fortuna Sittard xG

61%
19%
20%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard

1.65

61%

Home win

5.19

19%

Draw

4.96

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

28%

PSV Eindhoven

3.63

10%

Fortuna Sittard

10.22

Win to Nil

17%

PSV Eindhoven

5.99

2%

Fortuna Sittard

50.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.3 8.1 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 7.3 9.4 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.6 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.3 4.2 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.324
λ Away (xG) 1.288
Total xG 3.612
League avg home goals 1.706
League avg away goals 1.554
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.293
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.992
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.835
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44