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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

62%

PSV Eindhoven

1.62

21%

Draw

4.68

17%

Fortuna Sittard

5.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.33

1.11

Fortuna Sittard xG

62%
21%
17%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard

1.62

62%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

5.92

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

33%

PSV Eindhoven

3.02

11%

Fortuna Sittard

9.23

Win to Nil

20%

PSV Eindhoven

4.90

2%

Fortuna Sittard

54.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.0 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 7.3 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.223
λ Away (xG) 1.106
Total xG 3.329
League avg home goals 1.631
League avg away goals 1.289
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.420
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.918
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.934
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64