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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 10 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

68%

PSV Eindhoven

1.47

16%

Draw

6.35

16%

Excelsior

6.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

2 – 2

5.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.92

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.34

1.43

Excelsior xG

68%
16%
16%
PSV EindhovenDrawExcelsior

1.47

68%

Home win

6.35

16%

Draw

6.13

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

81%

Over 2.5

1.23

19%

Under 2.5

5.26

63%

Over 3.5

1.59

37%

Under 3.5

2.70

44%

Over 4.5

2.27

56%

Under 4.5

1.79

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.57

Clean Sheet

24%

PSV Eindhoven

4.18

5%

Excelsior

18.45

Win to Nil

16%

PSV Eindhoven

6.15

1%

Excelsior

113.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
1 3.8 5.4 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.2
2 5.5 7.9 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 5.4 7.7 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
4 3.9 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.915
λ Away (xG) 1.430
Total xG 4.345
League avg home goals 1.643
League avg away goals 1.409
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.474
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 1.155
Excelsior attack strength 0.878
Excelsior defence strength 1.204
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 16