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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

66%

PSV Eindhoven

1.52

18%

Draw

5.55

16%

AZ Alkmaar

6.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

2 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.63

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.91

1.28

AZ Alkmaar xG

66%
18%
16%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar

1.52

66%

Home win

5.55

18%

Draw

6.17

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.08

Clean Sheet

28%

PSV Eindhoven

3.60

7%

AZ Alkmaar

13.86

Win to Nil

18%

PSV Eindhoven

5.48

1%

AZ Alkmaar

85.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 5.3 6.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.2
2 6.9 8.9 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.1 7.8 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 4.0 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 2.1 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.629
λ Away (xG) 1.282
Total xG 3.911
League avg home goals 1.658
League avg away goals 1.331
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.529
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 1.014
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.950
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59