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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
PSV Eindhoven Win
54%
1.84
20%
4.98
26%
3.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.8%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.26
PSV Eindhoven xG
Total xG
3.78
1.52
Ajax xG
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
1.84
54%
Home win
4.98
20%
Draw
3.90
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
33%
Over 4.5
3.03
67%
Under 4.5
1.49
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
70%
BTTS Yes
1.43
30%
BTTS No
3.34
Clean Sheet
22%
4.59
10%
9.57
Win to Nil
12%
8.45
3%
37.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.259
λ Away (xG)
1.523
Total xG
3.782
League avg home goals
1.610
League avg away goals
1.407
PSV Eindhoven attack strength
1.480
PSV Eindhoven defence strength
1.081
Ajax attack strength
1.001
Ajax defence strength
0.948
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
39 / 39