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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

38%

PSV Eindhoven

2.64

26%

Draw

3.81

36%

Ajax

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

2.71

1.33

Ajax xG

38%
26%
36%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax

2.64

38%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

26%

PSV Eindhoven

3.79

25%

Ajax

3.96

Win to Nil

10%

PSV Eindhoven

10.01

9%

Ajax

11.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.9 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.2 12.2 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.4 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.377
λ Away (xG) 1.333
Total xG 2.710
League avg home goals 1.587
League avg away goals 1.326
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.386
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.918
Ajax attack strength 1.094
Ajax defence strength 0.626
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60