PEC Zwolle vs Willem II – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
PEC Zwolle Win
49%
2.02
25%
3.97
25%
3.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.3%
Home win
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.58
PEC Zwolle xG
Total xG
2.63
1.06
Willem II xG
PEC ZwolleDrawWillem II
2.02
49%
Home win
3.97
25%
Draw
3.93
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
35%
2.87
21%
4.84
Win to Nil
17%
5.82
5%
19.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.577
λ Away (xG)
1.056
Total xG
2.633
League avg home goals
1.692
League avg away goals
1.286
PEC Zwolle attack strength
0.961
PEC Zwolle defence strength
1.046
Willem II attack strength
0.785
Willem II defence strength
0.970
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 15