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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

45%

PEC Zwolle

2.23

25%

Draw

4.05

31%

Waalwijk

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

2.95

1.31

Waalwijk xG

45%
25%
31%
PEC ZwolleDrawWaalwijk

2.23

45%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

27%

PEC Zwolle

3.71

20%

Waalwijk

5.12

Win to Nil

12%

PEC Zwolle

8.30

6%

Waalwijk

16.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.9 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 8.6 11.3 7.4 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.2 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.0 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.633
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 2.945
League avg home goals 1.569
League avg away goals 1.340
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.905
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.982
Waalwijk attack strength 0.997
Waalwijk defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 59