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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

19%

PEC Zwolle

5.27

21%

Draw

4.71

60%

PSV Eindhoven

1.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

3.04

2.00

PSV Eindhoven xG

19%
21%
60%
PEC ZwolleDrawPSV Eindhoven

5.27

19%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

1.67

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

13%

PEC Zwolle

7.42

35%

PSV Eindhoven

2.82

Win to Nil

3%

PEC Zwolle

39.11

21%

PSV Eindhoven

4.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 9.6 9.6 6.4 3.2 1.3
1 5.0 9.9 10.0 6.6 3.3 1.3
2 2.6 5.1 5.2 3.4 1.7 0.7
3 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2
4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.036
λ Away (xG) 2.004
Total xG 3.040
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.425
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.669
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.937
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.500
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41