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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Fri 28 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

38%

PEC Zwolle

2.66

27%

Draw

3.76

36%

Heerenveen

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

2.57

1.26

Heerenveen xG

38%
27%
36%
PEC ZwolleDrawHeerenveen

2.66

38%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

PEC Zwolle

3.54

27%

Heerenveen

3.68

Win to Nil

11%

PEC Zwolle

9.41

10%

Heerenveen

10.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.6 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.2 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.303
λ Away (xG) 1.264
Total xG 2.567
League avg home goals 1.728
League avg away goals 1.474
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.733
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.983
Heerenveen attack strength 0.873
Heerenveen defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47