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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

13:30

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

49%

PEC Zwolle

2.04

31%

Draw

3.22

20%

Excelsior

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

2.52

0.95

Excelsior xG

49%
31%
20%
PEC ZwolleDrawExcelsior

2.04

49%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

39%

PEC Zwolle

2.58

21%

Excelsior

4.83

Win to Nil

19%

PEC Zwolle

5.24

4%

Excelsior

24.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.6 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.7 12.0 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.4 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.574
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.683
League avg away goals 1.302
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.915
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.911
Excelsior attack strength 0.798
Excelsior defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 29