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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

17:45

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

40%

PEC Zwolle

2.50

26%

Draw

3.86

34%

AZ Alkmaar

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

2.68

1.27

AZ Alkmaar xG

40%
26%
34%
PEC ZwolleDrawAZ Alkmaar

2.50

40%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

PEC Zwolle

3.58

25%

AZ Alkmaar

4.06

Win to Nil

11%

PEC Zwolle

8.95

8%

AZ Alkmaar

11.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.8 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.3 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.6 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.401
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.676
League avg home goals 1.662
League avg away goals 1.405
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.821
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.886
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.025
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51