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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

41%

PEC Zwolle

2.46

23%

Draw

4.41

37%

Ajax

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

3.47

1.69

Ajax xG

41%
23%
37%
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax

2.46

41%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.11

Clean Sheet

19%

PEC Zwolle

5.40

17%

Ajax

5.93

Win to Nil

8%

PEC Zwolle

13.32

6%

Ajax

16.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.3 4.4 2.5 1.1 0.4
1 5.6 9.4 7.9 4.4 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.3 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.9 4.9 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.3
4 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.780
λ Away (xG) 1.687
Total xG 3.467
League avg home goals 1.656
League avg away goals 1.382
PEC Zwolle attack strength 1.041
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.988
Ajax attack strength 1.236
Ajax defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58