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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

24%

PEC Zwolle

4.22

26%

Draw

3.80

50%

Ajax

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

2.55

1.56

Ajax xG

24%
26%
50%
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax

4.22

24%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

21%

PEC Zwolle

4.74

37%

Ajax

2.69

Win to Nil

5%

PEC Zwolle

20.01

19%

Ajax

5.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 12.2 9.5 4.9 1.9 0.6
1 7.8 12.1 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.8 6.0 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.991
λ Away (xG) 1.556
Total xG 2.547
League avg home goals 1.677
League avg away goals 1.269
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.921
PEC Zwolle defence strength 1.046
Ajax attack strength 1.173
Ajax defence strength 0.642
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58