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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:30

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

70%

NEC Nijmegen

1.42

18%

Draw

5.59

12%

Willem II

8.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

3 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.50

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

3.46

0.96

Willem II xG

70%
18%
12%
NEC NijmegenDrawWillem II

1.42

70%

Home win

5.59

18%

Draw

8.49

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

38%

NEC Nijmegen

2.61

8%

Willem II

12.19

Win to Nil

27%

NEC Nijmegen

3.71

1%

Willem II

103.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.9 7.5 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 9.8 9.4 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.2 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.1 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.501
λ Away (xG) 0.958
Total xG 3.459
League avg home goals 1.613
League avg away goals 1.270
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.265
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.228
Willem II attack strength 0.615
Willem II defence strength 1.225
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30