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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

56%

NEC Nijmegen

1.78

19%

Draw

5.16

24%

Waalwijk

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

6.8%

Home win

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.49

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

4.12

1.63

Waalwijk xG

56%
19%
24%
NEC NijmegenDrawWaalwijk

1.78

56%

Home win

5.16

19%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.35

26%

BTTS No

3.85

Clean Sheet

20%

NEC Nijmegen

5.11

8%

Waalwijk

12.01

Win to Nil

11%

NEC Nijmegen

9.09

2%

Waalwijk

49.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
1 4.1 6.6 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.4
2 5.0 8.2 6.7 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 4.2 6.8 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
4 2.6 4.2 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.486
λ Away (xG) 1.631
Total xG 4.117
League avg home goals 1.586
League avg away goals 1.340
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.329
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.240
Waalwijk attack strength 0.981
Waalwijk defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62