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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

13:30

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

52%

NEC Nijmegen

1.93

25%

Draw

4.01

23%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

2.59

0.98

Sparta Rotterdam xG

52%
25%
23%
NEC NijmegenDrawSparta Rotterdam

1.93

52%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.31

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

37%

NEC Nijmegen

2.68

20%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.98

Win to Nil

19%

NEC Nijmegen

5.17

5%

Sparta Rotterdam

21.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 7.4 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 11.9 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.5 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.605
λ Away (xG) 0.985
Total xG 2.590
League avg home goals 1.720
League avg away goals 1.304
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.068
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.936
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.807
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49