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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

17:45

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

48%

NEC Nijmegen

2.09

23%

Draw

4.37

29%

PSV Eindhoven

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

3.24

1.40

PSV Eindhoven xG

48%
23%
29%
NEC NijmegenDrawPSV Eindhoven

2.09

48%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

25%

NEC Nijmegen

4.05

16%

PSV Eindhoven

6.30

Win to Nil

12%

NEC Nijmegen

8.46

5%

PSV Eindhoven

21.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.5 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.2 10.1 7.1 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.840
λ Away (xG) 1.399
Total xG 3.239
League avg home goals 1.704
League avg away goals 1.337
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.324
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.829
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.262
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.816
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38