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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

45%

NEC Nijmegen

2.23

22%

Draw

4.56

33%

PSV Eindhoven

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

3.65

1.68

PSV Eindhoven xG

45%
22%
33%
NEC NijmegenDrawPSV Eindhoven

2.23

45%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.34

Clean Sheet

19%

NEC Nijmegen

5.34

14%

PSV Eindhoven

7.16

Win to Nil

8%

NEC Nijmegen

11.89

5%

PSV Eindhoven

21.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.4 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3
1 5.1 8.6 7.2 4.0 1.7 0.6
2 5.1 8.5 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.3 5.6 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.4
4 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.969
λ Away (xG) 1.676
Total xG 3.645
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.350
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.200
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.899
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.381
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54