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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
NEC Nijmegen Win
59%
1.70
23%
4.37
18%
5.45
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.1%
Draw
2 – 0
8.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.15
NEC Nijmegen xG
Total xG
3.30
1.15
Excelsior xG
NEC NijmegenDrawExcelsior
1.70
59%
Home win
4.37
23%
Draw
5.45
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.62
38%
BTTS No
2.61
Clean Sheet
32%
3.16
12%
8.54
Win to Nil
19%
5.38
2%
46.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.9 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.145
λ Away (xG)
1.151
Total xG
3.296
League avg home goals
1.702
League avg away goals
1.314
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.096
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.030
Excelsior attack strength
0.850
Excelsior defence strength
1.150
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 0