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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
NEC Nijmegen Win
45%
2.24
21%
4.66
34%
2.95
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
8.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
1 – 2
7.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.98
NEC Nijmegen xG
Total xG
3.69
1.71
AZ Alkmaar xG
NEC NijmegenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2.24
45%
Home win
4.66
21%
Draw
2.95
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
71%
BTTS Yes
1.42
29%
BTTS No
3.40
Clean Sheet
18%
5.52
14%
7.23
Win to Nil
8%
12.38
5%
21.32
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.978
λ Away (xG)
1.709
Total xG
3.687
League avg home goals
1.689
League avg away goals
1.420
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.406
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.103
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.091
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.833
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40