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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
NEC Nijmegen Win
42%
2.36
22%
4.47
35%
2.84
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
1 – 2
7.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.86
NEC Nijmegen xG
Total xG
3.55
1.69
AZ Alkmaar xG
NEC NijmegenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2.36
42%
Home win
4.47
22%
Draw
2.84
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
47%
Over 3.5
2.13
53%
Under 3.5
1.89
28%
Over 4.5
3.57
72%
Under 4.5
1.39
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.45
31%
BTTS No
3.23
Clean Sheet
19%
5.39
16%
6.45
Win to Nil
8%
12.71
5%
18.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 9.0 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.864
λ Away (xG)
1.685
Total xG
3.549
League avg home goals
1.569
League avg away goals
1.340
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.273
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.169
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.076
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.933
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 59