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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

63%

NEC Nijmegen

1.60

22%

Draw

4.60

16%

Almere City FC

6.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

2.71

0.82

Almere City FC xG

63%
22%
16%
NEC NijmegenDrawAlmere City FC

1.60

63%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

6.39

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

44%

NEC Nijmegen

2.27

15%

Almere City FC

6.61

Win to Nil

28%

NEC Nijmegen

3.62

2%

Almere City FC

42.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.6 10.3 4.2 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 7.5 6.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
4 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.888
λ Away (xG) 0.818
Total xG 2.706
League avg home goals 1.683
League avg away goals 1.360
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.257
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.006
Almere City FC attack strength 0.598
Almere City FC defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55