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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

52%

NEC Nijmegen

1.93

19%

Draw

5.25

29%

Ajax

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

3 – 1

6.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.48

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

4.34

1.86

Ajax xG

52%
19%
29%
NEC NijmegenDrawAjax

1.93

52%

Home win

5.25

19%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

81%

Over 2.5

1.23

19%

Under 2.5

5.26

63%

Over 3.5

1.59

37%

Under 3.5

2.70

44%

Over 4.5

2.27

56%

Under 4.5

1.79

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

77%

BTTS Yes

1.29

23%

BTTS No

4.43

Clean Sheet

16%

NEC Nijmegen

6.45

8%

Ajax

11.94

Win to Nil

8%

NEC Nijmegen

12.46

2%

Ajax

40.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 2.4 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.2
1 3.2 6.0 5.6 3.5 1.6 0.6
2 4.0 7.4 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.7
3 3.3 6.2 5.7 3.6 1.7 0.6
4 2.0 3.8 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4
5 1.0 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.480
λ Away (xG) 1.864
Total xG 4.344
League avg home goals 1.695
League avg away goals 1.411
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.417
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.005
Ajax attack strength 1.315
Ajax defence strength 1.033
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50