Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

15:45

Venue

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NAC Breda Win

63%

NAC Breda

1.60

21%

Draw

4.70

16%

Heerenveen

6.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

NAC Breda xG

Total xG

2.82

0.87

Heerenveen xG

63%
21%
16%
NAC BredaDrawHeerenveen

1.60

63%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

6.20

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

42%

NAC Breda

2.39

14%

Heerenveen

7.02

Win to Nil

26%

NAC Breda

3.82

2%

Heerenveen

43.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.6 10.1 4.4 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.9 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.3 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.6 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.949
λ Away (xG) 0.872
Total xG 2.821
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.317
NAC Breda attack strength 0.828
NAC Breda defence strength 1.006
Heerenveen attack strength 0.658
Heerenveen defence strength 1.388
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51