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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

28%

Heracles

3.61

23%

Draw

4.33

49%

Utrecht

2.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Heracles xG

Total xG

3.24

1.87

Utrecht xG

28%
23%
49%
HeraclesDrawUtrecht

3.61

28%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

2.03

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

15%

Heracles

6.51

26%

Utrecht

3.91

Win to Nil

4%

Heracles

23.52

13%

Utrecht

7.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 7.4 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.8
1 5.4 10.0 9.4 5.9 2.8 1.0
2 3.7 6.8 6.4 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.7 3.1 2.9 1.8 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.364
λ Away (xG) 1.874
Total xG 3.238
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.350
Heracles attack strength 0.905
Heracles defence strength 1.311
Utrecht attack strength 1.059
Utrecht defence strength 0.911
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59