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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

29%

Heracles

3.43

23%

Draw

4.43

48%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Heracles xG

Total xG

3.26

1.86

Sparta Rotterdam xG

29%
23%
48%
HeraclesDrawSparta Rotterdam

3.43

29%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

16%

Heracles

6.41

25%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.06

Win to Nil

5%

Heracles

22.00

12%

Sparta Rotterdam

8.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.1 6.6 4.1 1.9 0.7
1 5.4 10.0 9.3 5.8 2.7 1.0
2 3.8 7.0 6.5 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.8 3.3 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.402
λ Away (xG) 1.858
Total xG 3.260
League avg home goals 1.667
League avg away goals 1.445
Heracles attack strength 0.900
Heracles defence strength 1.227
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 1.048
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40